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基于多路口預測與實(shí)時(shí)配時(shí)合作的交通控制系統設計
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上海理工大學(xué)出版印刷與藝術(shù)設計學(xué)院,

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Traffic Control System Design Based on Multi-road Prediction and Real-time Timing Cooperation
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    摘要:

    交通流量的預測是實(shí)現智能交通控制的核心問(wèn)題。利用電子車(chē)牌識別法對車(chē)輛進(jìn)行計數,根據數理統計原理篩選對決策路口影響最大的樣本數據,建立NARX動(dòng)態(tài)神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò )預測模型,以路網(wǎng)多路口交通流的時(shí)間序列數據進(jìn)行訓練,預測后一天同時(shí)段的車(chē)輛數,計算出兩方向總體配時(shí)差值,再分配于早晚高峰時(shí)段,并進(jìn)行實(shí)驗得出理想現象;嚴重擁堵情況下啟動(dòng)實(shí)時(shí)配時(shí)與應急方案。選取上海市長(cháng)寧區常年擁堵的金沙江路與中山北路交叉口為中心點(diǎn),進(jìn)行MATLAB仿真實(shí)驗,所得預測數據與實(shí)際值比較差值較小,驗證了以多路口數據預測單路口的創(chuàng )新設計能在實(shí)際交通中應用,且能與實(shí)時(shí)配時(shí)方案合作,緩解交通擁堵。

    Abstract:

    The forecast of traffic flow is the core issue of intelligent traffic control.Using electronic license plate recognition method to count vehicles, according to the principle of mathematical statistics to filter the sample data that has the greatest impact on decision intersections, establish a NARX dynamic neural network prediction model,training the time series data of road traffic at multiple intersections to predict the number of vehicles in the same period of the next day. Calculate the total time difference between the two directions and redistribute them in the morning and evening rush hou,and experiment to get the ideal phenomenonr;Real-time timing and emergency plans are initiated under severe congestion.Selecting the intersection of Jinsha River Road and Zhongshan North Road as the center,which are always congested in Changning District of Shanghai, using MATLAB to simulate, and the difference between the predicted data and the actual value was smaller.It verifies that the innovative design of a single intersection predicted by multi-road data can be applied in actual traffic and can cooperate with real-time time-planning solutions to alleviate traffic congestion.

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引用本文

楊乾坤,王曉紅.基于多路口預測與實(shí)時(shí)配時(shí)合作的交通控制系統設計計算機測量與控制[J].,2018,26(12):93-96.

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  • 收稿日期:2018-05-15
  • 最后修改日期:2018-06-20
  • 錄用日期:2018-06-21
  • 在線(xiàn)發(fā)布日期: 2018-12-21
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